Expansion of such government programs as the earned income tax credit and Medicaid offset such losses to a degree. Here is a graphic I created to illustrate this concept. The falcon cannot hear the falconer; Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold; Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world, The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere. The Center Wont Hold is the second episode of theseventeenth seasonand the 365th overall episode ofGrey's Anatomy. The left-right split was shown in this blog’s first post: https://surakblog.wordpress.com/2020/07/09/a-map-of-america/ The graphic below was created by the Economist magazine, and illustrates again the slight rightward shift of Republicans contrasted with the substantial leftward shift of Democrats. And they have done little or nothing to offset forces, including the decline of unions and competition from low-wage workers abroad, that have hammered earnings of low-skilled workers. Prime Minister Abiy faces protests from the activists who put him in power. The decline of trust in elected officials is stunning and crosses party lines. Growth of productivity slowed. The second is a series of economic developments that have fallen with particular severity on those Americans with less-than-college education. We all need to be prepared for a worse case scenario. Simple subtraction showed me the behavior of the Democrat half of the population, lying under the red curve. The best lack all conviction, A few of us in National Capital Presbytery have begun a project that is far easier said than done. Demographers heralded the imminent emergence of a majority-minority nation. Elites suffered sharp losses, but regained most of those losses during a recovery in which the top few percent of the income and wealth distribution enjoyed most of the gains. Why are they turning to rebels and outsiders so disturbingly full of passionate intensity? Lightfoot Sure Hopes So. Indeed, the moderates are barely tolerated by either Right or Left. The first decades in the life of the new nation saw repeated and sometimes violent resistance to actions of the national government, culminating in the Civil War, the bloodiest war in our history. The idea of white ascendancy, if not superiority, morphed from accepted truth into anachronistic myth. Why are so many Americans rejecting those in both parties whom they have trusted in the past to lead them? They will use the lower-class as their muscle to enforce their oligarchic rule, replacing more and more jobs with artificial intelligence and robots. Depending on where you are in the country will depend on whether you have law enforcement that upholds the Constitution, or sides with the Left to take control and enforce new draconian laws. The ceremony of innocence is drowned; The … In most cases, the center has disappeared as your graph indicates. The debate in both parties is different this year. He went on to say: “Surely some revelation is at hand.” I caught a glimpse of that “new vital center” when I gathered in Nashville this week with 48 church leaders from all five Jurisdictions of the church, 27 of whom were under 45 years old. In order to succeed, aspirants for party leadership had to master the art of compromise. Economic chaos ensued. But it will not remove the forces that have caused so many to scorn leaders they once trusted. The Center Is Hollow Despite what you may see on TV, moderate views are still common among Americans. To understand that depth of feeling, it is necessary recognize that shifts in values, sex roles, and civil rights—changes that have enhanced lives of most Americans—have also eroded the objective condition and subjective sense of security, status, and well-being of many of our fellow citizens. Others react against favoritism even toward groups long egregiously disfavored. The Second Coming. But they are a poor substitute for the across-the-board income growth of the post-World-War-II decades. Turning and turning in the widening gyre. While life-expectancies of middle and upper income men and women rose sharply, life-expectancies of lower-income women fell and of lower-income men barely increased because of drug use, depression, and other self-destructive personal behaviors. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. Examples of works whose titles draw from "The Second Coming" include: Chinua Achebe's novel Things Fall Apart (1958); Joan Didion's essay collection Slouching Towards Bethlehem (1968); Peter De Vries's novel "Slouching Towards Kalamazoo" (1983); Robert B. Parker's novel The Widening Gyre (1983); the 1996 non-fiction book Slouching Towards Gomorrah: Modern Liberalism a… In 2007 and 2008, the financial system teetered and nearly collapsed. The passage of HR1, yesterday, in the House does not give me much hope that a civil war can be avoided. This holds true even on hot-button issues such … The Center Cannot Hold is the eloquent, moving story of Elyn's life, from the first time that she heard voices speaking to her as a young teenager, to attempted suicides in college, through learning to live on her own as an adult in an often terrifying world. Two ways of achieving negative population growth are: 1) unleashing a man-made and ever-mutating viral pandemic, to which a mandatory vaccine creates a deadly response (ADE = antibody dependent enhancement); 2) Bill Gates unleashing a massive cloud of particulates into the atmosphere to diminish solar radiation on the earth, at the same time the sun is moving towards a grand solar minimum, and moving us early to the next ice age. Hence there must be a drastic reduction in human population by some means or another. It has done so despite prematurely restrictive fiscal policy, adopted before recovery was well advanced, out of a bizarre belief that imagined future problems from future budget deficits posed a greater threat to the nation than did current mass unemployment. For the purpose of my new perspective, the center in this case is not the political center. A dispassionate outsider might point out that the United States remains an island of stability to which millions around the world flock for refuge and opportunity and that the U.S. economy is still stronger than that of any other developed nation. things fall apart; the centre cannot hold; mere anarchy is loosed upon the world, the blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere. I also examined exit polls from the last two presidential elections. Homosexuality, formerly regarded as abnormal at best and criminal at worst, emerged from the shadows to become generally, if not universally, accepted. Kinda hard to hold the center when you are spinning your wheels. Ted Cruz, unabashedly asks voters in a nation founded on religious tolerance to allow immigration only of Christians-at least for now. TURNING and turning in the widening gyre. When America withdrew, chaos ensued. Rexit prompts Liberals to eye remaining MPs. The center can hold, but it must be fortified with new convictions. The electorate will choose a new president and new legislators a few months hence. Not sure what to expect these days. It would be necessary for every media bobble-head to agree to every absurdity (a POTUS severely handicapped by dementia) and to attack fiercely any independent thought as conspiracy theory. A quarter century of rapid economic growth followed the war. Now the center is not 30%, but probably closer to 10%. I do not think that conservatives have the strength to hold America together without a ferocious civil war that will dwarf the previous one in casualties. But they can demoralize the middle-class, to keep them as productive slaves. Can Biden’s Center Hold? Can the center hold? As long as the center was big enough and broad enough, the center would hold the ends together. For African Americans, the Emancipation Proclamation ended legal slavery, but not repression. Republican primary voters have turned to candidates who promise an end to compromise with and even civility toward those whose policies and values they reject. Can the center hold? For a society to function stably and peacefully, the center must hold. I keep thinking that if a civil war happens, that it will mainly be in the major metros in the country, but that may not be the case. The first stanza of William Butler Yeats much quoted poem, The Second Coming, contains the words: ‘Things fall apart, the center cannot hold…. Radicals of both sides are pushing for the more sinister end to our conflicts. Look at just two of them -- debt and the question of legitimacy. 1 Short Summary 2 Full Summary 3 Cast 3.1 Main Cast 3.2 Guest Stars 3.3 Co-Starring 4 Medical Notes 4.1 Miranda Bailey 4.2 Steve Lee 4.3 Frankie Morris 4.4 Kayden Lee 4.5 Aaron Morris 4.6 Meredith Grey 5 Music 6 Notes and Trivia 7 Gallery 7.1 Episode Stills 7.2 Behind the … The Law and Political Economy Society ( www.lpesoc.org) at Berkeley is a student-run organization dedicated to fostering interest and discussion in LPE, offering a community through which students and practitioners can build creative thinking, dissent, and systemic critique into their study and practice. Can we bridge what divides us? Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. A gap only slightly narrower separated the internationalist, ‘modern’ Republicans led by Dwight Eisenhower, Henry Cabot Lodge, and Arthur Vandenberg from the conservative, isolationist Republicans represented by Robert Taft and John Bricker. Again, not everyone gained. In the glow of post-World War II America, few recognized how unusual it was for Americans to have confidence in the efficacy of the federal government. Read more. W hat a difference 30 years makes. It is not hard to understand why voters would bitterly blame elites for the self-inflicted wounds from a misbegotten war. Can we bend just a little further without breaking? Can we find our way through this wilderness? This surge reflects deep-seated trends in … Although the left has needed the deplorables for centuries for the latter’s productive capacity, the former have no idea how to keep the sociological center happy. Unionized jobs disappeared, as did the extra earnings and fringe benefits that unions extracted from resistant employers. So wrote Peter Viereck, "twenty-three years of age, unemployed, short of cash," in the Atlantic Monthly's April 1940 issue. Why are things falling apart? Of course, I don’t mean the perpetual arguments between us, but something more sinister. Depending on how much more the Left continues to try and push the country to the Left will determine whether it becomes a heated conflict that spirals out of control. A political center of 10% will have a hard time holding everything together. Or even more modestly, can we even talk about all this? On the home front, blinkered or feckless elites were blind to the emerging real-estate bubble, to rampant financial mismanagement, and to plain fraud, practiced not only by get-rich financial scammers by also by their complicit customers. The founding fathers deeply distrusted centralized power. I think that is pretty much the case already, it’s just that the CCP military hasn’t landed yet. Successful candidates have long run against Washington, often from state governorships, but never in rebellion against the core ideas of their parties. Some, rightly or wrongly, have seen affirmative action as depriving them of access to services once exclusively theirs. Editor’s note: This piece originally appeared in The Huffington Post. We need to find people who believe in God and His Bible, the Declaration of Independence, the Constitution, and start over. I don’t put anything past these Dhimmicrat Communists. Litigation and direct political action eventually curbed those practices, albeit slowly, painfully, and incompletely. The Scriptures center on the gospel work of Jesus Christ and therefore, it is good and right to frame pastoral ministry and the Christian life around what Scripture centers on. But that same dispassionate observer could also note that social and economic mobility, never as great as popular myth supposed, had fallen well below that in other nations and that U.S. economic inequality surpassed that of any other developed nation. Then, based on inaccurate information or downright lies about weapons of mass destruction by its leaders, the United States invaded Iraq. It was, however, a decidedly mixed blessing for many men—for those working men who lost monopoly possession of many occupations, for married men threatened more by the erosion of economic dominance within the family than appreciative of added income from empowered economic partners, and for single men who found themselves devalued as potential ‘husband-providers.’. Here too, there were gains and losses…gains for African-Americans and other people of color, whose rights to live and work where they wanted expanded, and gains for the nation as a whole, which benefitted from an expanded pool of talent and from the first steps in expiating opprobrious behavior toward fellow citizens. Public policy shored up financial system, a move that doubtless saved Main Street as well. Phrases and lines from the poem are used in many works, in a variety of media, such as literature, motion pictures, television and music. It is unclear whether these words, penned in 1919 referred only to the Irish war of independence or somehow expressed a prescient vision of what Yeats called ‘the blood-dimmed tide’ that would soon engulf Europe. Can The Center Hold? HTML5: Can the center hold? Concerning my comment, above, on HR1, take a look at this: https://www.theepochtimes.com/indiana-ag-says-hr-1-makes-opportunities-for-voter-fraud-the-law-of-the-land_3723250.html. ( Log Out /  If it is to succeed in the future, he says, the ‘best’ must uphold their convictions while the ‘worst’ must recognize that proliferation is ultimately a dead end. Can the centre hold? Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. The U.S. economy has since recovered better than those of most other developed nations. It also supported incomes of the middle class through such government programs as Unemployment Insurance and food assistance. Executive Summary. The Non-proliferation Treaty (NPT) has been remarkably successful in restraining the nuclear ambitions of most states, writes William Tobey. But if it does, it will do so tenuously, and it will be on probation. I also examined exit polls from the last two presidential elections. It fell again toward the end of the eighties, but recovered briefly in the 1990s following the well-managed, ‘good war’ against Iraq and the only decade since the 1960s during which incomes grew across the entire income distribution. They reserved to the states all powers other than those the Constitution explicitly granted to the central government. There is a convergence of several trends that make it unwise to dismiss such questions as out of hand. The falcon cannot hear the falconer; Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold; The Second Coming, W. B. Yeats Their strength derives from their two wings, the two humps in the graph. As women and people of color entered occupations from which they had long been excluded, technical change and competition from abroad eroded the base of well-paid jobs for those with comparatively little education. With a cold eye, that observer might well conclude that the dyspeptic majorities in both parties have reason to reject leaders who failed them so often and so catastrophically. Prepare as best you can as whatever is coming down the road may take a long time to live and work through. Thousands of soldiers died, tens of thousands were wounded, and trillions of dollars were spent. Conservative, segregationist, and anti-union Democrats of the South had little other than a party label in common with liberal, intergrationist, and pro-union Democrats of the North and West. Earnings of workers with less than college education actually fell. During the past decade, a populist revolt against long-established political arrangements has erupted throughout the West. Agreed. Official policy—federal, state, and local—and private collusion perpetuated subjugation well into the 20th century. Change ). Inequality, which had fallen for more than four decades, began to increase. As work progresses on the next-generation markup language, ongoing disagreements call to question the ideal of a truly standards-compliant Web White men without college degrees and the women who were their partners no longer could count on rising wages and the improved status that comes with seniority in career jobs. Now, the center is not 30%, but probably closer to 10%. The whole population is indicated by the dashed gray curve at the top. Then the economy turned sour, buffeted by the first OPEC ‘oil shock’ and the recession that followed. Can the center hold? The growing split in America is not solely a left-right split, but is also a split of the center from the extremes. At some point the money will run out, and then change will occur, or the CCP will have fully taken over the country before that can happen. The contraceptive revolution weakened the link of sex to marriage. Whites males, once economically, culturally, and politically dominant, saw one area of ascendancy after another slipping from their control, as women achieved economic and sexual independence and as people with skins darker than theirs emerged from the social and economic shadows. But Yeats didn’t stop with a center than can’t hold. In this regard, when the Centre Cannot hold things fall apart? The center may hold once again. I think there is a growing body of evidence to support the following hypothesis. The sociological center of the nation is politically conservative because of their respect for tradition, and their desire for stability. Dear Surak readers, I have been reading extensively on the subjects of politics, class, IQ, lifestyle, and so on. Middle East & Africa Nov 2nd 2019 edition. An upheaval in social norms and values accompanied these market-place developments. ( Log Out /  Can the Center Hold? These days, there is no common ground, politically/socially and that has become a very dangerous situation, as has been seen in Portland and Seattle. In 1964, 77 percent of Americans trusted the federal government to do what is right always or most of the time. I would not make any assumptions about the military or law enforcement being on our side. the ceremony of innocence is drowned; the best lack all conviction, while the worst. June 24, 2020, 3:09 pm. “Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold; Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world” —William Butler Yeats, “The Second Coming” Last week, The Jewish Theological Seminary presented an honorary degree to Philip Roth, one of the greatest American writers of the 20th and early 21st centuries. In fact, the SPD suffered a setback at the polls even more severe than the rebuke administered to the CDU/CSU. Pressure on the middle is often able to break the front into two parts that, upon being divided, can … The insurgent in the Democratic primaries, a long-serving Senator, is tapping into anger among many Democrats who believe that party leaders have been too willing to compromise on ideas to which the party faithful are devoted but that party leaders regard as dubious policy (protectionism), impracticable (single-payer health reform), or both (highly progressive taxes). With so many leaving the major metros and moving to the more rural States, we may very well see it spread to all corners of the country. The center may hold once again. Can one be surprised that by 2015 the fraction of Americans who said that the federal government will do the right thing always or most of the time had fallen to 26 percent among Democrats and to a dismal 11 percent among Republicans? "The center can hold when “gospel centrality” is tethered to the Son of God who came down clothed in the gospel. The loss of common ground by the political parties in the US is leading to an eventual show-down that may be a civil war of some kind. So did growth of per worker earnings. A Center That Can Hold. The best lack all conviction, While the worst are full of passionate intensity.’ It is unclear whether these words, penned in 1919 referred only to the Irish war of independence or somehow expressed a prescient vision of what Yeats called “the blood-dimmed tide” that would soon engulf Europe. Our political system has failed to address the mounting problems and dissatisfactions of the 21st century for many reasons. are full of passionate intensity. Post was not sent - check your email addresses! Trust in government reached a high of 60 percent in October 2001, one month after 9/11. The former covets power; the latter needs money. They have a somewhat diminished appeal to the sociological center, whom they deride as deplorables. The Center Cannot Hold offers a rare peek into the raging mind of a schizophrenic. Can the center hold? Faith in the federal government rebounded during the Reagan administration in part and paradoxically because he appealed to the abiding distrust of Washington. They divided authority among three branches of government expressly to frustrate the exercise of such power. A succession of rebellions against such limits became a massive civil rights revolution, spawning exhilarating opportunities for half of the population. I have labeled the lower hump the dependents (including 22 million illegal aliens soon to join the voting rolls), and the upper hump the manipulators (government-academia-media-entertainment-technological elite-big business = GAMETEBB). The Dhimmicrats (Marxist/Communists) continue to push themselves further Left, leaving no common ground between themselves and everyone else. Success fostered trust. If there is ever to be a revival of centrist politics, its advocates must come to terms with the conditions that enabled populists to rise on the right and the left. If we fight and somehow win a civil war, I certainly hope that we don’t push for the “final solution to the Leftie question”, as I’m relatively certain the Left would do, if victorious. For the beleaguered mayor, the middle road is also the path of most resistance. Incomes of all economic groups increased. It is a phrase borrowed from military battlefield scenarios that points out that the center of a wide front or line of battle may be weakened by the deployment of forces and reserves along the whole length. The moderates were always the ones that could bridge the differences between the Left and the Right, but that is not tolerated by the Left any more.

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